Jamaica Education Performance 2010–2024: Literacy, Numeracy & PEP Results
Data-driven education analysis

Jamaica Education Performance 2010–2024

What the available data shows about Grade 4 literacy and numeracy, Grade 5 and Grade 6 PEP performance, and the continuing gap between male and female students.

65.1%Grade 4 literacy mastery in 2024
69.9%Grade 4 numeracy mastery in 2024
60.4%Grade 6 PEP mathematics proficiency in 2024
66.8%Grade 6 PEP language arts proficiency in 2024

A review of Jamaica's available assessment data from 2010 to 2024 shows a mixed picture. Grade 6 PEP results have strengthened, Grade 4 numeracy remains above its early-decade level, but Grade 4 literacy has not returned to the stronger performance seen before the 2020–2021 reporting gap.

Key findings
  • Grade 4 literacy mastery fell from 83.1% in 2019 to 59.8% in 2022, then recovered to 65.1% in 2024.
  • Grade 4 numeracy rose from 54.0% in 2012 to 69.9% in 2024, though it remains below the 74.3% recorded in 2019.
  • Grade 6 PEP mathematics proficiency climbed from 41.0% in 2019 to 60.4% in 2024.
  • Grade 6 PEP language arts proficiency increased from 54.7% in 2019 to 66.8% in 2024.
  • Female students outperformed male students across several major 2024 measures.

Grade 4 literacy has not yet returned to earlier levels

National mastery in the Grade 4 Literacy Test increased from 66.9% in 2010 to a high of 86.3% in 2015. Performance stayed above 80% for most of the latter half of the decade, reaching 83.1% in 2019.

The next available observation is 2022, when mastery fell to 59.8%. It then improved to 63.4% in 2023 and 65.1% in 2024. This is a 5.3 percentage-point recovery from 2022, but the 2024 result is still 18.0 points below 2019.

Grade 4 literacy mastery, 2010–2024
0%20%40%60%80%100%20102012201420162018202220242010: 66.9%2011: 71.4%2012: 73.8%2013: 76.4%2014: 77.2%2015: 86.3%2016: 80.3%2017: 84.5%2018: 82.8%2019: 83.1%2022: 59.8%2023: 63.4%2024: 65.1%National mastery
National proportion of students achieving mastery. No observations are present for 2020 or 2021 in the supplied dataset.

Grade 4 numeracy shows stronger long-term progress

Grade 4 numeracy mastery increased from 54.0% in 2012 to 74.3% in 2019. It remained relatively strong at 72.4% in 2022, slipped to 64.7% in 2023, and recovered to 69.9% in 2024.

Despite recent fluctuations, the 2024 result is 15.9 percentage points higher than in 2012. Numeracy therefore shows a stronger long-term trajectory than Grade 4 literacy in the available data.

Grade 4 numeracy mastery, 2012–2024
0%20%40%60%80%100%2012201420162018202220242012: 54.0%2013: 58.0%2014: 57.5%2015: 63.6%2016: 59.8%2017: 66.4%2018: 65.6%2019: 74.3%2022: 72.4%2023: 64.7%2024: 69.9%National mastery
National proportion of students achieving mastery.

Grade 6 PEP results show substantial improvement

Grade 6 PEP mathematics provides one of the clearest positive trends. The proportion of students classified as proficient or highly proficient increased from 41.0% in 2019 to 45.9% in 2022, 49.3% in 2023, and 60.4% in 2024.

Language arts also improved overall, moving from 54.7% in 2019 to 66.8% in 2024, despite a dip in 2023.

Grade 6 PEP proficiency, 2019–2024
0%20%40%60%80%100%20192022202320242019: 41.0%2022: 45.9%2023: 49.3%2024: 60.4%2019: 54.7%2022: 62.7%2023: 54.4%2024: 66.8%MathematicsLanguage Arts
Share of students at proficient or highly proficient levels.

The gender performance gap remains significant

Female students recorded higher results than male students across each of the four selected 2024 measures shown below. The widest gap was in Grade 6 PEP language arts, where female students recorded 75.6% compared with 58.2% for males — a difference of 17.4 percentage points.

Male vs female performance across selected 2024 assessments
0%20%40%60%80%100%Grade 4 Literacy Male: 56.8%56.8%Grade 4 Literacy Female: 73.4%73.4%Grade 4 LiteracyGrade 4 Numeracy Male: 64.9%64.9%Grade 4 Numeracy Female: 74.9%74.9%Grade 4 NumeracyGrade 6 PEP Math Male: 54.5%54.5%Grade 6 PEP Math Female: 66.5%66.5%Grade 6 PEP MathGrade 6 PEP Language Arts Male: 58.2%58.2%Grade 6 PEP Language Arts Female: 75.6%75.6%Grade 6 PEPLanguage ArtsMaleFemale
Values represent mastery or proficient/highly proficient rates, depending on the assessment.

Grade 5 mathematics remains an area to watch

Grade 5 PEP mathematics has been much more volatile. The proficient or highly proficient share declined from 49.0% in 2019 to 42.3% in 2022 and then to 25.3% in 2023, before rebounding to 46.7% in 2024.

Language arts followed a less severe version of the same pattern, falling from 59.4% in 2019 to 48.5% in 2023 before rising to 67.6% in 2024.

Grade 5 PEP proficiency, 2019–2024
0%20%40%60%80%100%20192022202320242019: 49.0%2022: 42.3%2023: 25.3%2024: 46.7%2019: 59.4%2022: 50.2%2023: 48.5%2024: 67.6%MathematicsLanguage Arts
Share of students at proficient or highly proficient levels.

What does the data tell us overall?

The broad picture is one of uneven recovery and improvement. Grade 6 PEP performance is moving upward, Grade 4 numeracy remains considerably stronger than it was at the start of that series, and Grade 5 language arts posted a strong 2024 result.

At the same time, Grade 4 literacy remains well below the levels recorded before the reporting gap, Grade 5 mathematics remains volatile, and the gap between male and female performance continues across several subjects.

A note about interpreting the figures

The dataset combines different assessments and measures, including mastery rates, mean scores, developing levels, and proficient/highly proficient classifications. These measures should not automatically be treated as directly equivalent. The dataset also has reporting gaps for some assessments, so the figures show what changed but do not, on their own, explain why it changed.

Conclusion

Jamaica's education data from 2010 to 2024 presents both reasons for optimism and clear areas requiring continued attention. The strongest positive development is the improvement in Grade 6 PEP results. Numeracy at Grade 4 also shows meaningful long-term gains.

However, the weakness in Grade 4 literacy, the volatility in Grade 5 mathematics, and the persistent male-female performance gap deserve close monitoring. Continued publication of consistent annual data will make it easier for parents, educators, researchers and policymakers to distinguish short-term changes from sustained improvement.

Data source: supplied Jamaica education assessment dataset covering 2010–2024. Charts are rendered as inline SVG, so no external chart library is required.